Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Abyssal Heaven Regionals
decks
2
(5.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-5-1
overall winrate
38.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.9%
avg ELO -5.6 per match
expected value
46.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1224
· median 1224
· range 1143–1305
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1143
Q3 1305
1382
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 16.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.5% | -7.1 |
| Fire Exia | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -4.4 |
| Water Genbu | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
